PAPER TITLE :COMPUTATIONAL MODELLING TECHNIQUE FOR SHORT-TERM ELECTRIC LOAD FORECASTING

FUTA JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING AND ENGINEERING TECHNOLOGY | VOLUME 9 NUMBER 1 2015

Paper Details

  • Author(s) : Iyanda A. R. and Odejobi O. A.
  • Abstract:

A B S T R A C T
One of the major crises facing developing countries of which Nigeria is not an exception is the problem of epileptic
power supply. Fifty years after supposedly seeing the light of independence, Nigerians are still literarily living in the
dark. This is due to such factors as poor and insufficient power infrastructure resulting from poor funding,
mismanagement of the available power resources (both human and material), vandalism, etc contribute to the above
problem. This problem has invariably led to stagnation in the kinds of investments in the country, as power is a crucial
component of sustainable development. Hence, the need for developing a computational model that will help to
produce a 24-hour forecast of electric load. The design was done using coloured petri net tool and implemented using
fuzzy logic tool in Matlab 7. Result showed that percentage electric load consumption for raining season is lower
than the one consumed in harmattan, therefore more focus should be given to generating more power during
harmattan than during raining season for adequate management of the generated electric power